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I shouldn't apply to a college that I don't think I can get into
You're probably not that good a judge of which colleges you can get into.
The mindset of pre-judging things aren't going to work without trying them is a very bad habit!
But if you never try, you'll never know... Just what you're worth.
Coldplay's "Fix you".
Not everyone can afford to apply to every college that they want to get into.
If applying to this college is free and it does not take any extra effort, then there is no harm in trying. You never know what will happen.
Better to save your energy for the ones that will work out.
There could be a number of things that increases your chances for acceptance, from heritage, to geography, to economic standing, to some experience you've had. You don't know the full set of criteria that a college may use in accepting an applicant.
Got a scholarship based on my mix of academics and extracurriculars -- not academics alone
It may not be economically feasible to attend college at all if your intended career field will not yield a lifetime increase in income to offset the cost of tuition.
You could be wrong in your assumption.
Edit: If this is an appeal to belief, then so is the original premise, which explicitly bases its truth on its own statement belief.
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